PHOTO USA Today Sports Images As the NFL season approaches, the value of futures prop bets begins to decrease as players accumulate stats and the field of potential winners in a given category drops off during the regular season.
With higher risk comes higher reward, and it’s always the most bang for your buck to wager on stats-driven props before the season. The value will never be higher, pending injury during the preseason.
Here are the three best bets for players that could lead the NFL in receiving yards in 2024 and their odds, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.
CeeDee Lamb, WR, Dallas Cowboys (+650)
In 2023, Lamb finished just 50 yards shy of leading the league in receiving, trailing only Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill.
This came after he saw 181 targets, caught 135 passes, and had 1,749 yards. This season, the Cowboys are without wide receiver Michael Gallup and running back Tony Pollard; quarterback Dak Prescott is entering a contract year; and Lamb is trying to get paid a massive extension.
He’s holding out right now and hasn’t played in the preseason or been to training camp, but I expect Lamb to be on the field in Week 1.
He’ll be peppered with targets in this offense, which averaged 37.4 pass attempts per game (tied for first). However, unless one of the Jalens—Tolbert, Brooks, or Cropper—emerges, this offense really only has Brandin Cooks, Jake Ferguson, and an aging Ezekiel Elliott to pass patches.
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Ja’Marr Chase, WR, Cincinnati Bengals (+900)
The Bengals 2023 season went sideways after quarterback Joe Burrow was ruled out for the season with an injury heading into Week 11. Thus, Chase finished with 100 catches for 1,216 yards and seven touchdowns. He saw 145 targets. From Weeks 1 to 10, Chase had 833 yards, which would’ve translated to over 1,400 yards with an entire season of that production.
He missed Week 15, and if not for a 149-yard game, he had just two games from Week 11 on with more than 41 yards.
Heading into 2024, the Bengals have Burrow back, and production has been left behind with Tyler Boyd landing with the Tennessee Titans. He saw 98 targets, caught 67 passes, and went for 667 yards.
Chase is a true No. 1 receiver, and with one less option to deal with, he should be primed for another massive year.
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Amon-Ra St. Brown, WR, Detroit Lions (+1100)
The Lions averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game (ninth) in 2023. That average climbed to 37 over their last three.
The No. 1 receiver in this offense, led by the big-money quarterback Jared Goff, is none other than “The Sun God,” St. Brown.
In 2023, he saw 164 targets, caught 119 passes, went for 1,515 yards, and had 10 touchdowns in 16 games. If you tack on his average of 94.7 yards per game to the game he missed, that puts him over 1,600 and within striking distance of Hill and Lamb.
This season, the Lions still have tight end Sam LaPorta, and running back Jahmyr Gibbs is entering his second season. Also, they’ll be hoping for more from Jameson Williams, but Josh Reynolds is no longer with the team. He had 608 yards last season.
The Lions run the ball, but as mentioned, they throw a lot, too, and St. Brown will be the No. 1 option for that. I expect him to finish quite close, and if he can get more downfield looks (only 9.5% of his targets were 20+ yards downfield), this could lead to more receiving yardage production.
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